Current Market Conditions Favor Buyers of Manhattan Condos, For Now

Until the last few months, the Manhattan condo marketManhattan condo prices that could favor buyers for
had been largely immune to the plunge in real estateanother year at least. The Real Estate Board of New
values that has plagued most real estate marketsYork has said that 11,023 condo units now under
around the country. Luxury Upper East Sideconstruction will be ready for sale by the end of 2010.
condominiums and Manhattan new condos elsewhereTough Financing Options for Manhattan Condominiums
on the island held most of their value as the uniqueYet another factor driving down Manhattan condo
nature of Manhattan’s economy and real estateprices is the difficulty condo buyers are having with
market insulated them from the housing bust.obtaining mortgage financing. Jumbo mortgages that
However, in the second quarter of 2009, that insulationexceed $729,750 exceed the loan limits of conforming
melted away. Manhattan real estate professionals sayloans backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and
that during the three months that ended on June 30,most Upper East Side condos are priced very near or
2009, condo prices fell between 13 and 19 percent withover that limit. Skittish lenders are asking borrowers of
median sales prices ranging from $795,000 tojumbo loans to put steep down payments of up to
$849,000. This represents a significant shift from thethirty percent on modestly priced condos and up to
first quarter of 2009 when condo values ranged fromfifty percent on high-end luxury Upper East Side
a modest two percent loss in value to respectablecondos. This has understandably driven condo buyers
gains of up to six percent compared to the firstto Manhattan condos on the lower end of the price
quarter of 2008.spectrum.
Manhattan Condo Buyer’s Market on, Right NowCondo Sales Picking Up
The uncertainties of the current Manhattan condoNaturally, when market conditions favor buyers
market have temporarily driven many of thewanting to buy a condo for their primary residence
speculators away from investing in condos and condorather than an investment, more buyers enter the
development projects. Investors who bought condosmarket. According to one Manhattan real estate
at relatively low “preconstruction” prices to turnprofessional, condo sales jumped by more than 28
a tidy profit when the condos were ready forpercent in the second quarter of 2009 as buyers
occupancy have largely abandoned these investmentssensed the bottom of the market was near. She said
for the moment. Another favorable facet of currentthat lower-priced one bedroom and studio condos
condo market conditions for buyers is the fact thatdominated the market and led to the surge in sales.
wealthy people who bought Manhattan condos as tax"It's value-based shopping. People are coming back into
shelters for their money can no longer write off losses.the market, but nobody is going to overpay."
Under new tax guidelines, it is no longer possible forA Fleeting Opportunity
investors to write off more in expenses than whatWhile the Manhattan condo market is somewhat
they receive for rent on their condos. Rents onimmune to the up and down cycles of most real
Manhattan condos have plummeted in the last yearestate markets, the window of opportunity for buyers
and what looked like a steady stream of income forwill not remain open for long. Unlike most major
investors has become a liability.American cities, New York City’s population is
Huge Inventory of Unsold Manhattan New Condosgrowing. As more buyers take advantage of current
The steadily increasing value of Manhattan newmarket conditions, the availability of lower-priced
condos fueled a condo development frenzy over theManhattan condos shrinks and prices inevitably rise.
last several years and developers were putting upSince there is little Manhattan new condo development
new condo buildings as quickly as they could.currently under construction due to tight credit and
Nevertheless, the nature of the business is thatwary investors, the condo market is expected to
development lags behind demand, and when thetighten in the near future. When that happens, investors
economy began to flag in 2008, new condo buildingswill once again have the upper hand, well-informed
were too far along in the development process tobuyers will see the value of their investments
stop construction. This has led to a glut of unsoldappreciate and cautious buyers who waited too long
condos that has also put downward pressure onwill have missed a golden opportunity.